The Andre Drummond Team is comprised of players whose coaches don't give them minutes for... (insert random speculation) |
I came across this realization last night: an NBA coach has
a LOT to think about. I’ve never coached
in an NBA game, but I’d imagine it would be difficult juggling substitutions,
play calling, referee relations, game management, and player motivation. You have to discern between the different
buzzing of assistant coaches and be the final judge of what is best for your
team on any given night. And if the
decision you make ends up being wrong, although it may have been heavily
influenced by others, you get the blame.
That being said, sometimes coaches do things that seem to
evade all formulae of logic. As fans, we
don’t get to go behind the scenes, hear what goes on in the locker room, or see
how players perform in practice. All of
these are certainly factors in a coach’s decision-making process. But we do get to see the on-court product,
and it is troubling when the coaching staff apparently does not, or is
extremely slow to react to it.
THE MIDSEASON ANDRE DRUMMOND TEAM
BRANDAN WRIGHT: PF/C, DALLAS MAVERICKS
CURRENT MPG: 19.7
Brandan Wright has become one of the under-the-radar elite finishers in the game |
Brandan Wright was signed to a 2 year/ $10 million dollar
deal in the offseason after a career year with the Mavericks last season. After struggling in his early years to put on
weight and survive the physical nature of the NBA game, Wright has carved
himself a nice niche as one of the premiere pick-and-roll finishing big men in
the league. In 16 games so far this
season, he is shooting 68% from the field and is 7th overall in
Points Per Possession in pick-and-roll situations (per Synergy). Wright has learned to utilize his length extremely well in either stopping
for 8-14 foot jumpers or getting all the way to the basket. He is agile. He is super long. He looks like he could chomp on leaves while hooping. He is kind of what I think an athletic giraffe would look like playing basketball.
Watch the variety that Wright uses to score here:
On defense, Wright has improved each year. His length is a great weapon in shot
disruption, and he is getting more comfortable using his quickness to handle
guards on the perimeter and recover to the paint. His slender frame, however, makes him a below
average post up defender and mediocre rebounder.
BOTTOM LINE: Last season, the Mavericks were 7 points better
offensively and 1 point better defensively with Wright on the court per 100
possessions. Although DeJuan Blair is a
nice player, he does not compare to Wright offensively, and is an average
defender at best. Wright has never
averaged more than 20 minutes a game, and, at 26 years old, he should be able
to handle an uptick in action. Unless
the Mavs are playing a stud back-to-the-basket scorer that needs to be bodied
up, I would like to see Wright get an extra 10 minutes of burn per game to see
what he can really do.
JAMES JOHNSON: G/F, MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
CURRENT MPG: 23.3
Johnson's defensive potential has always been there, but his offense has really "turned the corner" |
When the Grizz signed James Johnson on December 16, no one
really even noticed. It was to be
Johnson’s 4th NBA team in his young career, and possibly the last
chance for the former 16th overall pick to salvage his career. What he has done so far when given playing
time has been pretty amazing. The
new-look (tatted up, slimmed down) Johnson is averaging 8 Pts, 5 Reb, 3 Ast, 2
Blk, 1 Stl in limited playing time.
While clearly limited as a shooter, Johnson has found a way to be a huge
plus on the offensive end as a creator/finisher for the Grizz while continuing
to live up to his reputation as a defensive disruptor.
Do you see Tayshaun Prince having a game like this anytime soon?
(edit: I realize both the game clips I have shown are against the Bucks, but I promise these players have had good games against non-terrible teams as well.)
BOTTOM LINE: Memphis, despite all of its struggles, is still
only 3 games back in the playoff race and now has Marc Gasol back for the stretch
run. So far this season, the Grizz are
11 points better on offense with Johnson on the floor and 2 points better
defensively per 100 possessions (82games.com).
If they want to make a push at the playoffs, it is time to play Johnson
a lot more. Or, if they want a better
draft pick, keep starting and playing Tayshaun Prince (who almost all of
Johnson’s minutes have come at the expense of) 25 minutes a night. The only thing Prince is possibly better at
than Johnson at this point is outside shooting, and Prince is making 0.3 threes per
game. Make the move, Coach Joerger?
MICHAEL BEASLEY: SF/PF, MIAMI HEAT
CURRENT MPG: 17.2
By all accounts, Beasley has a been a team player so far this season |
Supercoolbeas was looking like the annual steal of the
offseason for the Miami Heat through November and early December when he averaged 12
points and 5 rebounds over a 12 game stretch.
But since a midseason hamstring injury, he has seen his minutes drop
dramatically, logging only 2 minutes in last night’s win over
the 76ers. Beasley’s FG%, 3FG%, and
rebounding numbers are all up dramatically from last season with the Suns, but
it hasn’t been enough to earn him a consistent bench role. With Ray Allen struggling mightily in recent
times, Dwyane Wade morphing into nightly game-time decision, and Lebron James dealing with
a shoulder problem, it would make sense for Erik Spoelstra to give minutes to
someone who can create their own offense and give a spark to the second unit. This season, Beasley ranks 13th in
the NBA in Isolation Points Per Possession (per Synergy).
Defense has never been Beasley’s forte, but he has received
praise on that end from Spoelstra himself.
In a game on November 29 against the Raptors, Beasley was subbed in for
the final five minutes “for his defense”.
Said Spoelstra after the game, “He can have a significant role for
us. That role may be limited minutes,
but it can be a significant role. It could be bigger minutes. We have a whole
season to figure that out.”
BOTTOM LINE: Well, the season is almost half over, and we
have these numbers to look at (per 82games):
PER vs. Opponent PER at the SF position: Shane Battier- 8.2
vs 9.4
Rashard Lewis- 8.5
vs 20.7
Michael Beasley- 19.3 vs 10.3
PER vs. Opponent PER at the PF position: Shane Battier- 11.7
vs 21.7
Rashard Lewis- 11.3 vs 15
Michael
Beasley- 16.7 vs 15.8
These numbers may be a little skewed because Battier and
Lewis have played more minutes against opposing starters, but it is still
something to think about. Beasley is the
only one that has a positive net rating at either position. Sure, Battier has a reputation as a great team
defender, ball mover, and playoff performer.
But why does Spoelstra insist on playing Rashard Lewis over Beasley? Defense?
Certainly not, Lewis’s defense has never been good and Beasley at least
has the physical tools to improve with reps.
Outside shooting/spacing? Lewis
is only making 0.4 three pointers more per game than Beasley and is also
shooting 10% worse from deep. Plus, just look at how cool the guy is (in my Top 10 GIFs):
ENES KANTER: PF/C, UTAH JAZZ
CURRENT MPG: 25.4
Who doesn't want to see these guys get some minutes together? |
Kanter is one of the most likeable guys in the league off
the court, but that’s not the only reason he makes the Drummond team. Ty Corbin lost trust in the Kanter/Favors
frontcourt early on in the season after a rough start, mostly because of
spacing issues. But Corbin has to be
kidding himself if he thinks this season wasn’t about working through the kinks
with the Jazz young guys, anyway. That
slow start can also be heavily attributed to historically bad play from John
Lucas III and Gordon Hayward forgetting how to shoot.
Kanter has very advanced post moves for his age, but
struggles with passing out of crowded situations. There are some encouraging signs, however,
that he can coexist with Favors in the frontcourt. Favors excels as a pick and roll big man, per
Synergy Sports, while Kanter is better in post-up situations. These are complementary roles, and it is also
probable that one or both evolve into reliable jump shooters as they progress
(still aged 21 and 22 (!)).
Kanter has a lot to learn on the defensive end, where he
ranks below average in every category besides isolation. But good news, Matt Harpring! There is still reason to believe in the
Kanter/Favors combo on this end, as well.
Last season, in 706 minutes shared on court, the duo gave up 98.3 points
per possession, which would have been good enough for 3rd in the NBA
(per NBA.com).
BOTTOM LINE: It is true that Kanter has struggled mightily
through stretches during the season, but he has also showed periods of
greatness. With the playoffs already out
of reach, Coach Corbin should continue experimenting with the Favors/Kanter
frontcourt to see if it is worth a long-term investment. Kanter is the type of player who loses and
gains confidence quickly, and the coaching staff could be missing out on huge
future benefits by not giving him more leeway.
One more thing to think about- The Burke-Burks-Hayward-Favors-Kanter
combination is a +.3 points per possession so far this season (albeit in limited
minutes, per 82games.com)!
PLAYERS ALSO RECEIVING CONSIDERATION FOR THE DRUMMOND TEAM
Jordan Hill: Was not included because lineups that feature
both Hill and Pau Gasol have not performed well, and he is not playing over Pau any
time soon.
Draymond Green: Draymond is one of the most underrated
players in the league. Not only is he a
lockdown defender at 2 positions, but he is also one of the only ball moving
players on Golden State’s roster. A
minute uptick for Draymond Green, however, would probably come at the expense
of Harrison Barnes, something that I cannot advise. I would, however, recommend that he take
Mareese Speights’ minutes (someone needs to).
I could agree with Brendan Wright posting up minutes and numbers for the Mavs. Kid is gonna keep improving.
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